Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Economy Threat To National Security


The economic crisis is affecting national security as well because it evokes fears of "instability and high levels of violent extremism" as was seen in Europe in the 1920's and '30's.

That assessment comes from Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair in the public portion of his testimony today to the House Intelligence Committee.

Blair says the longer the global economic downturn continues the more serious the threat to U.S. strategic interests.

"Roughly a quarter of the countries in the world have already experienced low-level instability such as government changes because of the current slowdown," Blair says.

He points to anti-state demonstrations in Europe and the former Soviet Union as evidence. And notes that much of Latin America, the former Soviet states and sub-Saharan Africa lack sufficient cash reserves, access to international aid or credit.

"Statistical modeling shows that economic crises increase the risk of regime-threatening instability if they persist over a one to two year period," Blair says.

"Besides increased economic nationalism, the most likely political fallout for U.S. interests will involve allies and friends not being able to fully meet their defense and humanitarian obligations."

Blair envisions a potential flood of refugees from Caribbean countries to the United States.

He also sounds a cautionary tone about how lower oil prices - good news for consumers - puts additional pressures on Iran and Venezuela to engage in what the director calls "adventurism."

Blair's testimony also focuses on extremist groups that use terrorism. To no one's surprise, he identifies extremist Muslim groups as presenting the greatest capability to threaten the United States.

The good news, he says, is that these groups have been unsuccessful in meeting their goal of conducting another major attack in the United States. And he notes that mainstream Muslim opinion is turning against groups like al-Qaeda.

"Over the last year and a half, al-Qaeda has faced significant public criticism from prominent religious leaders and fellow extremists primarily regarding the use of brutal and indiscriminate tactics." Blair cites actions taken by al-Qaeda in Iraq, and elsewhere, that have claimed the lives of Islamic civilians for helping weaken support from Muslims.

But he also notes that al-Qaeda has been changing tactics, throwing more support toward the Taliban and moving the battleground to Afghanistan and Pakistan. The squeeze the U.S. and its allies have put on al-Qaeda in that region, he says, has made the terrorist organization "less capable and effective than it was a year ago."

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Vandenplas84 said...

Interesting report. Seems al qaeda has mostly given up attacking outside the middle east and is concentrating on its own back yard. now this can mean victory as the main fighting force is occupied or if thay persuade the pakis to back them it could mean an endless supply of jihadists and to have muslims in our countries feeling 'its a war on islam' attitude. All out offensive and commitment by NATO to show whos in charge is needed and a hard line government in pakistan that needs support.
As for Iran the supreme leader is in charge and monkey boy is just a silly mouthpiece whos up for re-election in June.

Anonymous said...

National security again? When does the mob of angry villagers storm Washington DC with torches and pitchforks and KILL THE LOT OF THEM? Two endless wars following 9/11/01, which is as suspect as any false-flag op in history, our house-of-cards fiat currency economy tanking hard -- How about a nice vote to DISBAND the federal government altogether, to dig up Hamilton and stuff his grave with garlic and wolfbane, and to return power to the states? The whole "Al Queda" thing is a FICTION, "Al Queda" is child's Arabic meaning "The Toilet". Would YOU name your revolutionary organization "The Toilet"? No?

A bright idea for DC in general would be to stop allowing MEMRI to pass as anything other than Mossad disinformation -- find a real translation service.

9/11. All their lies hinge on it. Who benefited from 9/11? "Arab terrorists" in caves who got the USAF to stand down? Which country would benefit from a new millennium shot through with anti-Islamic propaganda in every breath?

Fascistic government officials are a real threat to "national security." Allowing a criminal President to escape prosecution will set the stage for further abuses the way that not prosecuting Nixon set the stage for Bush43.

Gordon Wagner

MIchelle said...

al-Qa'ida (The Base)
Established by Usama Bin Ladin in the late 1980s to bring together Arabs who fought in Afghanistan against the Soviet Union. Helped finance, recruit, transport, and train Sunni Islamic extremists for the Afghan resistance.
Al-Qa'ida is multi-national, with members from numerous countries and with a worldwide presence. Senior leaders in the organization are also senior leaders in other terrorist organizations, including those designated by the Department of State as foreign terrorist organizations, such as the Egyptian al-Gama'at al-Islamiyya and the Egyptian al-Jihad. Al-Qa'ida seeks a global radicalization of existing Islamic groups and the creation of radical Islamic groups where none exist.

Al-Qa'ida supports Muslim fighters in Afghanistan, Bosnia, Chechnya, Tajikistan, Somalia, Yemen, and Kosovo. It also trains members of terrorist organizations from such diverse countries as the Philippines, Algeria, and Eritrea.

Al-Qa'ida's goal is to "unite all Muslims and to establish a government which follows the rule of the Caliphs." Bin Laden has stated that the only way to establish the Caliphate is by force. Al-Qa'ida's goal, therefore, is to overthrow nearly all Muslim governments, which are viewed as corrupt, to drive Western influence from those countries, and eventually to abolish state boundaries.
There is NOTHING FICTION about them or their Activities.