Tuesday, September 29, 2009

News Talk Online September 29, 2009: Insight Into How Iran Nuclear Negotiations Will Go

Update: Iran reportedly is refusing to discuss nuclear program during Geneva talks

By GARY BAUMGARTEN
Paltalk News Network

When Iran meets with the permanent five members of the United Nations Security Council and Germany in Geneva on Thursday, the agenda will be to get that nation into compliance with UN resolutions on nuclear development.

There is a renewed sense of urgency because of Iran's revelation last week that it had surreptitiously constructed a second nuclear facility without first notifying nor permitting the International Atomic Energy Agency to inspect it. The size of the facility and the covert manner in which it was built is raising alarms about its purpose. Iran maintains it's for the peaceful production of nuclear energy. But few experts outside Iran believe that assertion.

Most observers believe the negotiations with Iran won't be particularly easy. Now there's an indication from the Iranian news agency, PressTV, about Iran's posturing leading into the talks that does little to allay those concerns.

It looks like Iran is coming to the table on the offensive. Instead of focusing on its own, obvious, transgressions, PressTV reports that Iran will demand that the current members of the nuclear fraternity make good on their pledges to reduce their nuclear arsenals.

This is an obvious and pathetic attempt by Iran to divert attention from its own nuclear program. The issue here is not the continued reduction of current nuclear stockpiles. It's non-proliferation. And Iran's failure to assure the world that it will not create additional nuclear warheads.

The current delicate balance of nuclear weapons around the world is being managed in a way that, thankfully, does not contribute to an arms race. But a nuclear armed Iran would prompt many Middle Eastern nations to aspire membership in the nuclear weapons family as well as a means of self-defense. If that happens, then the launching of one nuclear weapon - or the mistaken assessment that a nuclear warhead had been launched - could lead to Armageddon.

The Iranian regime has shown itself to be less than truthful. With a straight face, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told the UN General Assembly last week that he had been overwhelmingly re-elected president of that nation. Iran's veracity with regard to its nuclear program should be viewed with the same skepticism.

The real concern here is not so much Iran's posture at Geneva - but that of the P5+1. Those nations will likely argue amongst themselves about sanctions, giving Iran the time it needs to develop a nuclear weapon. If that happens, the world's only salvation ultimately could be Israel, which, in its own defense, could, and then should, destroy Iran's nuclear facilities.





1 comment:

Brian Cruzan said...

I think Thursday's Security Council meeting will be a defining moment for the UN. It has to show it can truly be effective dealing with global conflict. I believe how Iran responds at the meeting will largely depend on how they perceive the ability of the UN to put words into action.
The fact that Germany and France are supporting the UN and have threatened reduced trade with Iran may be the factors most intimidating to Iran.
I agree that the recent summit attendees with nukes should reduce stockpiles, but that is a different albeit important issue than the one on the table Thursday.
Looking forward to discussing this with Gary this evening on Newstalk on www.paltalk.com tonight at 5, EST.