Monday, September 7, 2009

Swine Flu Update September 7, 2009

If there was any question about the possibility that swine flu might spread among people who are in close confinement with one another, one need only take a look at the University of Washington campus at Pullman where 2,000 students have the swine flu (though university officials say things are actually starting to ease there now).

In France, the tradition of placing one's cheek on that of another and blowing a kiss into thin air has become a endangered over swine flu concerns. Yep, they may just be kissing that practice goodbye.

And the head of security for Ecuador's president has died from the swine flu.

Meanwhile Roche, the manufacturer of Tamiflu, says there have been a few strains of the swine flu that have emerged that are resistant to that medication.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

I love the way people gravitate towards a panic without checking out details ;)

The 2,000 figure came from the UNIVERSITY BLOG, which originally stated:

"We estimate that we have been in contact with about 2,000 students with influenza-like illness in the first 10 days of our fall semester..."

ESTIMATE, Gary. In epidemiology- an ESTIMATE is NOT identified cases, rather, cases in which POTENTIAL symptoms may marker POSSIBLE cases.

Let's look at the symptoms of H1N1 shall we?

cough (regular flu has a cough)

body chills and aches (ditto)

congestion (ditto)

diarrhea and vomiting (ditto)

a fever of 100 degrees or higher, however some cases of Swine Flu have been reported with no fever present. (ditto)

According to the university blog itself, this is dated for September 4 (the most recent):

"We had a total of 114 patient contacts yesterday for influenza-like illness. (We had 42 phone nurse conversations; 49 patients who chose to self care after talking with a nurse; and 23 patients who were seen by providers.) We’ve been asked by the county health department to track numbers in this way to give us a better idea of how many students at WSU actually have influenza-like illness. We are following Centers for Disease Control guidelines and recommending patients with influenza-like illness self care and self isolate if appropriate. Because of this, the total number of patients who actually see one of our physicians is not a complete picture of how many students actually have influenza-like illness."

Again, this does not say for certain if these students had/have H1NI, rather, INFLUENZA-LIKE symptoms.

The 2,000 figure comes from the below:

"These numbers have been fairly consistent since August 24, and there is no evidence to predict whether patient flow will increase or decrease. We estimate that we have been in contact with about 2,000 students with influenza-like illness in the first ten days of our fall semester. "

Where does it say SWINE FLU? Someone show me, please!

Every fall the INFLUENZA hits universities and public schools like gangbusters because these groups typically do NOT RECEIVE FLU SHOTS. Tallying the total number of INFLUENZA-LIKE cases and calling it SWINE FLU doesn't help contain the problem. Instead all it does is scare people for no reason.

The blog article goes on to say:

"None of our patients so far have had severe enough symptoms to require hospitalization. The overwhelming majority of our patients have had mild symptoms and are usually better in three to five days. We have not hospitalized any patients yet, but we have had about a dozen patients with nausea and vomiting who required hydration. "

Gary, I love ya, but please RESEARCH THINGS (or have your researcher do it) before you post something in a panic, ok?

hugs and all of that!

-LD McLellan

source:
http://hws.wsu.edu/blog/default.asp?Username=healthycoug&EntryID=135

Anonymous said...

Also, when talking about the resistent strain report, it would be helpful to add (as did the news story):

"...which it calls a very low percentage.

A good sign is that the people who had the resistant strain have not passed the disease on to other people, said David Reddy, leader of Roche's Tamiflu pandemic task force. And the resistant variety has been like the widespread version of the virus in that it typically produces only mild symptoms.

The 13 cases were scattered around the world in Europe, the United States and Asia..."

Again, there's always a small dot of resistent cases in any influenza and other contagious diseases.

Panic doesn't help. SENSE helps. Use the standard precautions and, if you're able to, get a regular flu shot. This could be one reason why older people are not coming down with cases of H1N1- or at least cases not AS bad as those who are not getting the shot.

Anyone over 50 and anyone with a serious medical condition should also get their pneumonia shot as well.

Wash your hands.

Cough/sneeze into a hanky, sleeve or tissue and use sanitizer.

Don't drink out of the same container as someone who is ill.

Stay home when fever is present. Do not "tough it out" and go to work or school by popping tylenol (which lowers fever but does NOT eleminate contagion).

If someone has been in your home or car and has been ill, get thee a can of Lysol spray and spray down the areas.

Hello?!? Common sense anyone????

-LD (again)

Gary Baumgarten said...

This is a direct quote from the cited story LD:

"More than 2,000 students at Washington State University, at the Pullman Washington campus have been infected with the H1N1 virus."

Anonymous said...

Maybe that reporter should do some research.

Anonymous said...

Gary, if you went to the link for the UNIVERSITY (not the news stories- the ACTUAL university website) you will see where it said this:

"These numbers have been fairly consistent since August 24, and there is no evidence to predict whether patient flow will increase or decrease. We estimate that we have been in contact with about 2,000 students with influenza-like illness in the first ten days of our fall semester."

It does not say:

"More than 2,000 students at Washington State University, at the Pullman Washington campus have been infected with the H1N1 virus."

What you're citing is from a news story. *I* am citing exactly what the university said ON THEIR OWN SITE.

Please have your researchers follow the bunny trails, Gary. I do- I bother to seek the PRIMARY SOURCE.

-LD (correcting Gary again heh)

Anonymous said...

As far as the swine flu goes.......I've spoken to a couple of people who have been diagnosed with the H1N1 virus and asked if it were any different than any other flu as far as symptons and treatment and was informed "no" all flu have the same symptoms so I'm not understanding the panic with this one. I know I'm not to overly worried about it and as far as the vaccine goes......I'll have the same response as with any other flu vaccine "no thanks"
TJonna

Anonymous said...

Tjonna theyre not sure how effective the vaccination for the H1N1 will be; nor completely sure about side effects.

The one thing that seems interesting is that people who received REGULAR flu shots did not suffer from h1n1 as badly- if at all.

On the other hand, people who did nothing got the worst cases of it.

But you're right- death isn't imminent in 90% or more of cases. And people are panicking for no other reason than liking to panic.

-LD

(personally I think gary is hoping to get ladies to run to his place for "shelter" heh)